Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.175127 3.544090 3.943446 4.408596 4.936465 5.518009 6.208721
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.656308 3.150632 3.723388 4.439036 5.313395 6.352092 7.687146
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.321533 2.881374 3.564142 4.464215 5.628553 7.096093 9.105086
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.078495 2.675876 3.435335 4.481496 5.900473 7.780052 10.494823
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.846735 2.450421 3.244797 4.380067 5.982792 8.197678 11.548252
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.686691 2.298977 3.129829 4.357194 6.154002 8.735285 12.810756
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.547303 2.159927 3.014354 4.314643 6.281790 9.209526 14.017649
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.490199 2.129889 3.046677 4.483944 6.731384 10.198386 16.126136
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.394001 2.033418 2.971677 4.481205 6.911110 10.780286 17.637538
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.301581 1.934308 2.883034 4.446296 7.031311 11.271052 19.043257
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.171259 1.767339 2.677086 4.205893 6.790857 11.136217 19.330898
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.110784 1.704371 2.628163 4.214738 6.964657 11.716412 20.967944
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.072597 1.675497 2.633618 4.318218 7.317471 12.658068 23.426864
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.022376 1.623489 2.597335 4.347141 7.541216 13.390770 25.581947
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.975784 1.573912 2.560886 4.371558 7.757203 14.128776 27.843221
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.931908 1.525626 2.522606 4.388398 7.958713 14.857071 30.179119
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.872483 1.446699 2.425577 4.289328 7.928171 15.122615 31.550054
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.830395 1.395019 2.372535 4.266986 8.043445 15.690602 33.663478
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.788707 1.341354 2.312165 4.225425 8.115385 16.174100 35.646923
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.779903 1.345812 2.357241 4.390779 8.624123 17.638298 40.164424
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.748259 1.306682 2.318992 4.388104 8.780614 18.349932 42.946735
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.714684 1.261964 2.267280 4.354010 8.866093 18.910218 45.427480
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.658104 1.171207 2.122616 4.119200 8.493309 18.381782 44.995469